Pulse Asia Surveys: Who Can Afford To Be Optimistic
Running a campaign for a senatorial seat is not cheap. I’ve always wondered how people would willingly throw millions down the drain in the face of prospects that are almost nil. The only senatoriable who lost an election badly (out of the top 20) to ever make it to the winners’ circle in the past four elections is Jamby Madrigal. She definitely spent a lot more money during her 2004 campaign compared to her “who-the-hell-are-you” lukewarm attempt in 2001 as a member of the Puwersa ng Masa.
I will be comparing the October poll numbers for 2007 with the final COMELEC tally and see who among the 2010 hopefuls can still cross their fingers and hope for the best.
This was how the October 2007 survey results looked:
There were twelve slots up for grabs for 2007 and based on the October-November numbers for Pulse Asia, there were nineteen senatoriables who had a realistic chance of winning one of the seats. Of these nineteen, ten where projected to be sure winners had the elections been held six months earlier. These ten included Loren Legarda, Panfilo Lacson, Francis Pangilinan, Manuel Villar, Alan Peter Cayetano, Tito Sotto, Ralph Recto, Korina Sanchez, Koko Pimentel and Gringo Honasan. Interestingly, of these “sure bets”, four ultimately failed to win a seat – Sanchez didn’t run while former senators Sotto and Recto (Team UNITY – the administration slate) dropped off the list (Recto ended up at #14 while Sotto was over three million votes short of the twelfth spot at #19. Genuine Opposition candidate Koko Pimentel was controversially beaten by some twenty thousand votes and finished at #13. Continue Reading »





